Last night saw Donald Trump perform relatively well in the Super Tuesday contest. Why only relatively well? Because I, personally, thought he was going to sweep with the possibility of maybe losing Texas. There is no denying that he is the man to beat at this early yet mathematically important stage of the game. In this post I will attempt to explain what I took out of last night and what the GOP candidates need to do to derail the con-man in the hairpiece. So who will win the Republican nomination? It’s tricky and nothing is certain as of this moment, no matter how much Breitbart, Drudge and Fox news want you to believe it is.
Marco Rubio: Desperately needs to win his home state of Florida. If current polls are any indication of what might happen; it looks like Trump wins handily. However, we must examine who the polls are questioning. Florida is a closed primary. Which means that polling, “likely voters” and “people who identify as conservative / Republican” is much different than asking registered Republicans. There isn’t enough time to register in the Republican Party if your intention was solely to vote for Trump. So I am dubious of the polls, however not to the point of consolation. Rubio did a bit better than I would have bet two days ago. He took Minnesota and was incredibly competitive in a couple other states with Virginia as the prime example. He can put the blame squarely on Kasich’s shoulders for the loss of Virginia. Rubio has said that he will take this to the convention floor if need be and will not give up the fight until Trump is dethroned. I would like to believe him but it is fairly obvious that March 15th will tell the tale for his campaign. At that point, suspension of the campaign would make sense if he is hoping to mount another attempt in four years.
Kasich / Carson: Go away. Your campaigns are hurting the party and are painfully obvious. They are massive fundraising entities and nothing more. They add nothing to debate any longer. They have no chance and in their better moments I would wager that neither of them are even thinking about the campaign in any sort of forthright way any longer. They need to go and go soon. They have vowed that they won’t which is awful news for the GOP but they haven’t felt the full pressure of the RNC… yet.
Cruz: He hit his peak last night. Unfortunately, taking OK along with TX. I would have preferred a Trump sweep if only to force Cruz to understand that he has not path forward and drop out. A Rubio/Cruz ticket is what The Donald fears the most. A Cruz/Rubio ticket would only stand to be an annoying warm up before he takes on Hillary. He lost his meal ticket with Evangelicals in the SEC. They flocked to Trump. Proving what we have known about Evangelicals all along; they’re the flimsiest kind of Christian. How so? Ask them what they feel about abortion and then ask them to explain Trump’s stance on Planned Parenthood. Then ask them to justify their votes. Make sure you have a bucket and a mop handy if you do, however. His two wins will fuel his fire a little longer unless the projected March 15 polls and enough pressure from Reince can force his suspension. It is highly unlikely. Anyway, he’s done in any real capacity aside from being the key to derailing Trump.
What does the GOP need to do? So, the next two weeks will need to be watched closely. Pressure from the RNC and from conservative PACs need to do whatever is necessary within moral reason in order to convince the two albatrosses to drop from the race. It also needs to convince Cruz of the possibility of a very disappointing showing on March 15th which would spell career suicide for him for the foreseeable future. It needs to coalesce behind Rubio.
What do the anti-Trump people need to do? Forget about trying to convince Trump supporters about the fact that their candidate is more liberal than conservative, the fact that he is a liar, the fact that he is a hypocrite, the fact that he doesn’t have a single comprehensive policy and understand that the majority of them are simply fed up with the government. Don’t even attempt to explain the irony of that to them or you will be told that you and “yer ten dollar college words can go on an’ git!” (That was a joke, relax.) We need to keep up the intense ridicule of the candidate himself, not of them. This is not a war against other Americans. This is a war against one American. A hateful, misogynistic, selfish American. And if the worst should happen and he gets the nomination, which will lead to the loss of the WH, Congress and SCOTUS, it will not be their fault, it will be his.
We’ll see.
